The Houston Texans have now constructed the playoffs for the fourth time in the last five seasons The Buffalo Bills registered their first 10 -win season since 1999 Read below for our prediction on how the line might move before kickoff
The Houston Texans and Buffalo Bills both finished its first year 10 -6. Since the Texans won their division, though, they’ll host an AFC Wild Card match with the Bills on Wild Card Weekend. The Texans have opened as a three-point favorite. Which way will this cable move by commencement?
Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans Odds
Team Spread Moneyline Total at BetOnline
Buffalo Bills +3.0( -1 10) OFF Over 38.5( -1 10)
Houston Texans -3.0( -1 10) OFF Under 38.5( -1 10)
Odds taken Dec. 29.
Bills Back In Playoffs For Second Time Since 1999
The Buffalo Bills haven’t been a regular in the playoffs as their Wild Card showdown will be only their second playoff game since 1999. They haven’t won a playoff game in that entire span. Regardless of what happens this weekend, 2019 was a good time for the team as they hadn’t won 10 plays since that 1999 season.
The key to the Bills’ success this season was running the football, as their rush offense graded fifth in the NFL in yards( 132.1 per game ). Quarterback Josh Allen was passable as a starter, at times looking elite and at times looking ordinary. He had no 300 -yard passing games on its first year and finished with a QBR of 47.2( 25 th in the NFL ).
An issue for this team is that they’re limping into this matchup a little bit. They fell three of four to close out the regular season and even though they tried to rest players in Week 17, they still suffered injuries. Cornerback Levi Wallace and offensive lineman Ty Nsekhe and Cody Ford were all injured on Sunday.
Texans Still Searching For Playoff Success Under Bill O’Brien
The Texans are back in the playoffs for the fourth time in their last five seasons under brain coach-and-four Bill O’Brien but they’re still in search of that elusive playoff success. They’ve picked up simply one playoff win in his tenure and that came against the Oakland Raiders, who were forced to start a backup quarterback( Connor Cook ).
The Texans were a hard team to figure out this season as they picked up wins over the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs, yet also had bad losses to the Denver Broncos, Carolina Panthers and Indianapolis Colts. They’re a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde, but we do know that they have an electric offense.
Houston entered Week 17 grading 11 th in phases per game( 24.3) and yards( 366.1) before resting their starters. Everyone knows about their electric passing game but they have success when they’re balanced on offense. In their 10 wins, Deshaun Watson had 31.9 pass attempts. In their losses, he averaged 44 passes per game.
Which Way Will The Line Move?
The Texans have opened up as a field goal favorite in the NFL odds and that seems about right. I wouldn’t expect to see a lot of pipeline movement one mode or the other. These two teams are both 10 -6 and both can show up and play great, or both could show up and play very poorly.
In general, with the bettors’ perception of the teams being about equal, I have a hard time seeing this line climb any higher. If anything, it might travel lower as bettors might see this as a coin toss type of game, which might point them in the direction of the Bills. Even so, I can’t see this going much lower than 2.5.
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